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WANDRD · JULY 2026 · ROSEWATER GROWTH

Creative Demand
Model.

A percentage playbook for the creative team. The floor points to ~100 net-new ads in July — but the number that matters is the mix: what share of output goes to which persona, moment, and format. Hold the proportions and the volume takes care of itself.

READ ME FIRST

100 is a floor, not a ceiling — we expect to exceed it. The account already sustains ~236 active ads a month. Every target below is a % of total output: whatever volume ships, keep it in these proportions.

Forecast floor
~100 ADS · ~$45–60K META · REV GOAL TBD
Sources
SUPERMETRICS 13-MO · MOTION TAXONOMY · DEMO 90D
Creative lanes
UGC/PARTNERSHIP · VIDEO FL · DESIGN · AFFILIATE
Executive Summary

The mix, in three numbers.

July stacks three suggested offer windows on a durable evergreen base. We build only two kinds of creative — Moments (tied to a dated offer) and Evergreen (always-on by persona). Here's how the output should split.

Moments vs Evergreen
25% / 75%
~25 moment, ~75 always-on. July 4 kickoff + a Prime Day counter lead the moments; EDC and sling creative leads the evergreen base.
Image vs Video
48% / 52%
Near-even, with a carousel push. Video stays the volume engine, but carousels (4.86 ROAS on 1.3% of spend) and offer statics take a bigger image share.
Top persona share
22%
Travel Photographers & Creators keep the #1 lane — trimmed from ~33% of spend. EDC (16%) and Sling (14%) are the under-fed winners moving up.

The big bet for July

Rebalance out of the PRVKE core into the efficiency lanes. Blended ROAS slid 2.58 → 2.37 → 1.85 from April to June while volume tripled — the account scaled the saturated lane. Everyday-carry (3.48) and sling (3.21) creative beat the blend on a fraction of spend, and carousels run 4.86 nearly unfed. July shifts share to where the account is already telling us it wants to go.

The Spine · How we cut the month

Every ad is a Moment or it's Evergreen.

The first decision on any brief. A Moment ad is built for a dated offer window and retired when it closes — offer-forward, disposable. An Evergreen ad runs always-on against a persona's durable pain. The split below is the target proportion of total output.

● Moments · offer-driven
25% of output
≈25 of every 100 ads. July 4 kickoff, Prime Day counter, peak-trip push. Statics carry the offers; a few urgency cuts on video.
● Evergreen · persona-driven
75% of output
≈75 of every 100 ads. Always-on against durable pains — gear chaos, slow access, one-bag-per-job. Funds the account between moments.
◂ MOMENTS 25%EVERGREEN 75% ▸

The rule for any brief

If a brief can't name the dated offer it's for, it's Evergreen — and it should lead with a persona pain, not a discount. WANDRD wins on product truth and craft, not promo dependence: an account that lives on offer creative collapses the moment the sale ends. Keep the evergreen base at ~75%.

Moments · Proposed July windows

The three offer windows — and their share.

Each window's share of moment creative, weighted to expected revenue — the flagship gets a deliberate premium. WANDRD has no July marketing calendar today: every window below is our suggestion. Confirm offers before briefing.

Window · what's in it% of momentsIMG / VID
1July 4 / Summer Kickoff SaleFLAGSHIPJul 1–7. Site-wide or SKU-led summer offer. Offer-first statics, countdown urgency, Rogue + PRVKE sale cuts.40%≈10 ADS6 / 4
2Prime Day CounterprogrammingJul 13–17. Value-add counter to the Prime surge — bundle / gift-with-purchase. Offer statics + one urgency video.36%≈9 ADS6 / 3
3Peak Trip Season PushJul 18–31. 'Trip coming up?' urgency for travelers. Seasonal hooks on evergreen packing demos and one-bag setups.24%≈6 ADS3 / 3
Σ All Moments100% ≈25 ADS15 / 10

Production scheduling read

Front-load the flagship. The July 4 kit needs to be live Jul 1 — offer statics, countdown, and Rogue/PRVKE sale cuts briefed by Jun 30 equivalent lead time. The Prime Day counter briefs by Jul 8: value-add (bundle / gift-with-purchase), not discount-matching. The trip-season push is mostly seasonal re-hooks of evergreen winners — cheapest window to fill.

View 1 of 3 · Persona Mix

Persona % split — your output target.

The headline number is the share of total output each persona should get. Ad counts (at a 100 floor) are shown small, for reference — scale them to your actual volume. Chartreuse = new / test / moment lanes.

Persona% of outputShare# at 100
Travel Photographers & CreatorsNORMALIZE22%
22 ads
Everyday Carriers (EDC)LEAN IN16%
16 ads
Urban Commuters / Sling CarryLEAN IN14%
14 ads
Travelers / One-Bag Minimalists12%
12 ads
Adventurers & OutdoorTEST7%
7 ads
Dissatisfied Bag OwnersNEW4%
4 ads
July 4 / Summer Kickoff SaleSUGGESTED10%
10 ads
Prime Day Counter (Jul 14–15)SUGGESTED9%
9 ads
Peak Trip Season PushSUGGESTED6%
6 ads
Total100%100 floor
Persona Rationale · the "why" sheet

Why each persona earns its share.

Each % is anchored to 13 months of ad-level spend and ROAS, the Motion audience taxonomy, or a deliberate test. This is the brief-level "why" for the creative team and vendors.

Travel Photographers & CreatorsNORMALIZE
22%
22 ADS

The PRVKE core and the account's engine — but over-concentrated: PRVKE-tagged ads eat ~33% of 90d spend at a 2.15 ROAS, below the lanes we're feeding next. Keep it #1, pull its share back to 22% and raise the hook bar on each brief.

~33% of 90d spend · 2.15 ROAS · 214 ads · over-fed
Everyday Carriers (EDC)LEAN IN
16%
16 ADS

The strongest efficiency signal in the account: everyday/EDC-angle ads return a 3.48 ROAS on ~2% of spend. Daily-carry pains — laptop + camera + gym in one bag — with Rogue and Sling as hero SKUs. Wildly under-produced vs how it converts.

+ 3.48 ROAS on ~2% spend · 14 ads · underfed winner
Urban Commuters / Sling CarryLEAN IN
14%
14 ADS

Sling-tagged creative runs 3.21 ROAS on 6% of spend and Rogue runs 2.54 on 17% — both beat the account blend. City casting, transit b-roll, quick-access framing. Feed the small-bag lane before it saturates.

+ Sling 3.21 · Rogue 2.54 · beats 2.29 blend
Travelers / One-Bag Minimalists
12%
12 ADS

Transit Travel Backpack + carry-on-only framing: 2.33 ROAS, right at blend. Durable July demand — peak trip season — so it holds share. Packing demos and 'avoid travel hassle' angles over generic wanderlust.

Transit 2.33 · travel angle 2.21 · hold
Adventurers & OutdoorTEST
7%
7 ADS

Only 2 ads carried this angle in the window — at a 3.18 ROAS. Too thin to trust, strong enough to test properly: trail/alpine casting, weatherproofing and durability proof, PRVKE + Fernweh crossover.

+ 3.18 ROAS on 0.2% spend · 2 ads · build the sample
Dissatisfied Bag OwnersNEW
4%
4 ADS

The us-vs-them lane the taxonomy names but paid barely runs. WorryLess Zipper proof (1.72 today) belongs here reframed as comparison: your bag's zippers, straps, and access points vs ours. Problem-aware entry point for cold traffic.

! Rebuild lane · comparison framing · WorryLess proof
July 4 / Summer Kickoff SaleSUGGESTED
10%
10 ADS

Flagship suggested moment: a Jul 1–7 summer kickoff offer. Offer-forward statics + urgency cuts on the two proven sale SKUs (Rogue, PRVKE). Retired when the window closes.

! No client calendar — window suggested, confirm offer
Prime Day Counter (Jul 14–15)SUGGESTED
9%
9 ADS

Shoppers are primed to buy mid-July. A counter-program window — bundle value or gift-with-purchase rather than discount-matching — captures the surge without training promo dependence.

! Suggested · value-add over discount · confirm
Peak Trip Season PushSUGGESTED
6%
6 ADS

Late-July 'leaving soon?' urgency for the Travelers lane: ship-by framing, packing demos, one-bag setups. Lightest window — mostly evergreen creative re-cut with a seasonal hook.

! Suggested · re-cuts, not net-new concepts
View 2 of 3 · Awareness Mix · Recommended Split

Recommended awareness split for July.

The % of output to aim at each funnel stage this month, with the directional ROAS that justifies it. Read left-to-right: cold audiences on the left, ready-to-buy on the right.

8%
Unaware
24%
Problem Aware
30%
Solution Aware
26%
Product Aware
12%
Most Aware
Awareness stageJuly %90d ROASvs typicalThe recommendation, and why
Solution Aware30%2.31holdThe backbone: one-bag solution, smart organization, versatile carry. Where packing demos and montages live.
Product Aware26%2.60lean inWhy PRVKE / Rogue vs the rest: feature-benefit pointouts, comparisons, carousels. Carousels run 4.86 here — badly underfed. Over-supply proof.
Problem Aware24%3.10lean inNaming the pain — bag chaos, slow gear access, one-bag-per-job. Fuels the EDC and Dissatisfied-Owner lanes, the two efficiency winners.
Most Aware12%2.20hold (offer)Offers and launches — the three July windows. Capped by the 25% moment ceiling; collapses in August by design.
Unaware8%1.95normalizeBrand-story and founder talking heads run below blend (1.95). Keep a trickle for reach; stop leading with it.

The honest caveat

Format signals awareness regardless of the theme tag — a relatable creator UGC functionally meets a cold viewer wherever it's aimed. Stage ROAS here is proxied from angle-level ad-name data while Motion's insight sync completes; use these percentages to brief the balance of the funnel, not as a hard contract on every ad.

View 3 of 3 · What's Working · Format by Spend

What's working — and what to make more of.

Spend share is trailing-90d ad-level data; ROAS is the efficiency read. The July Target % is what we want each format to be — biased toward what earns its keep. cyan = video · rose = image.

Format90d spend shareROASJuly targetVerdict
UGC / Creator Video vid
2.2636%Volume engine — biggest family, at-blend efficiency. Hold, raise the hook bar
Static — Product / Offer img
2.2224%Carries all three July windows + feature pointouts. Grow
Partnership / Whitelisted vid
2.4010%anybodyshoots 2.17 · DABA 2.83 — real signal. Keep whitelisting winners
Lifestyle Image img
2.208%Mid-funnel workhorse; city + trail casting. Hold
Founder Talking Head vid
1.956%8%+ of spend at below-blend ROAS. Normalize down
Carousel (feature / compare) img
4.8612%Best ROAS in the account on 1.3% of spend. 10x it
GIF / Motion Static img
1.964%Cheap in-house tests; tiny sample. Small bets
IMAGE family~33% spend2.22–4.86→ 48%Under-fed vs efficiency (carousels!) → rebalance up
VIDEO family~59% spend1.95–2.40→ 52%Volume engine → hold, trim founder lane

The one-line read for the team

Video keeps the majority (52%) but the found money is in image: carousels return 4.86 on 1.3% of spend — the most underfed format in the account — and offer statics carry all three July windows. Trim the founder lane (1.95 on 8%+ of spend), keep whitelisting partnership winners.

The Matrix · Where the three views connect

Format mix per persona — the cheatsheet.

Pick a row and a column to get a brief. Counts shown at the 100 floor; scale to your volume. Color intensity = priority weight within the row.

PersonaPrimary awarenessStaticVideoCarouselGIFTotal
Travel Photographers & CreatorsNORMALIZEProduct Aware6123122
Everyday Carriers (EDC)LEAN INProblem Aware592·16
Urban Commuters / SlingLEAN INSolution Aware482·14
Travelers / One-BagSolution Aware372·12
Adventurers & OutdoorTESTUnaware / Problem25··7
Dissatisfied Bag OwnersNEWProblem Aware121·4
July 4 / Summer KickoffSUGGESTEDMost Aware531110
Prime Day CounterSUGGESTEDMost Aware43119
Peak Trip SeasonSUGGESTEDSolution / Most23·16
Total · 100 floorStatic 32% · Video 52% · Caro 12% · GIF 4%3252124100

How to use it

"EDC × Video × 9" means 9 everyday-carry videos (UGC, creator demos) about daily-bag chaos and one-bag setups. Deep-rose cells get most volume; light cells sustain; dim cells are de-prioritized. Carousels are broken out because they're the 4.86-ROAS comparison pipeline (Designers / Internal).

Vendor Playbook · How to use this deck

Your lane, and how to forecast from it.

Each lane produces a different format family. Find your card, read your mix, and multiply by your own monthly volume — that's your brief count by persona and angle. 1) Find your family 2) read the % mix 3) multiply by output 4) split across the persona % (view 1) and pick angles from the rationale sheet. The 100 is a floor — hold the proportions.

UGC Creators / Partnership
VIDEO · UGC
Whitelisting engine — anybodyshoots-style partnership ads scale with commitment
YOUR MIX (OF VIDEO OUTPUT)

UGC ~70% · Partnership/whitelisted ~20% · Hybrid ~10%.

POINT IT AT

EDC daily-carry stories, sling quick-access demos, and traveler packing content. Partnership ads (2.4 blended) are proven — keep sourcing creators and whitelist the winners.

Freelance Video Editors
VIDEO
Founder cuts, sale urgency videos, montage re-cuts · sizes to commit
YOU OWN

Sale-window urgency cuts, seasonal re-hooks of evergreen winners, and the (reduced) founder lane.

JULY BIAS

July 4 kit cut by Jun 30, Prime Day counter by Jul 10. Founder talking heads drop to ~6% of output — fewer, better.

Designers / Internal
IMAGES
Fastest turnaround, full brand control · static + carousel + GIF
YOUR MIX (OF IMAGE OUTPUT)

Product/Offer 50% · Carousel 25% · Lifestyle 17% · GIF 8%.

JULY BIAS

Offer statics for all three windows, then feature-comparison carousels — the 4.86-ROAS format on 1.3% of spend. You own the single biggest efficiency unlock in the account.

Influencer / Affiliate
UGC · SOCIAL
Creator content + organic-to-paid · whitelisting
YOU OWN

Photographer/creator seeding, city-commuter creators for the Sling lane, and trail creators for the Adventurer test.

NOTE

Creator content reads Problem/Unaware regardless of tag — top-of-funnel builders. Whitelist winners into Meta.

Where to focus · This month

The eight moves that earn the mix.

The actionable layer — each move names a share, an angle, and an owner.

EFFICIENCY · WHY WE REBALANCE
Arrest the ROAS slide — mix, not just volume
blended ROAS 2.58 → 2.37 → 1.85 Apr–Jun

Volume nearly tripled this spring (178→295 active ads) while efficiency fell. July's answer isn't fewer ads — it's a different mix: shift share from the saturated PRVKE core into the lanes below.

LEAN IN · BEST SIGNAL
Everyday Carriers to 16% of output
3.48 ROAS on ~2% of spend · 14 ads

The biggest gap between what converts and what we make. Brief daily-carry chaos → one-bag EDC setups; Rogue + Sling hero SKUs. UGC-led with static support.

LEAN IN · SMALL-BAG LANE
Sling / commuter to 14%
Sling 3.21 · Rogue 2.54 · both beat blend

City casting, transit b-roll, quick-access framing. The small-bag lane beats the account blend and has room before saturation. Creators + carousels.

NORMALIZE · OVER-FED CORE
PRVKE from ~33% of spend to 22% of output
2.15 ROAS · 214 ads in 90d · below blend

Not a retreat — a rebalance. PRVKE keeps the #1 share; it stops absorbing every incremental brief. Each PRVKE brief needs a distinct angle: Japan-style story, feature pointout, or comparison.

FORMAT · 10X THE WINNER
Carousels to 12% of output
4.86 ROAS on 1.3% of spend · 5 ads

The single most underfed format in the account. Feature-comparison and 'what fits inside' carousels for Product-Aware traffic. Designers own it; brief 12 in July.

NORMALIZE · FOUNDER LANE
Founder talking heads to ~6%
1.95 ROAS on 8.4% of spend

Ryan's cuts earn a seat, not the table. Fewer, sharper founder videos — origin + product-decision stories — and reallocate the rest to EDC and sling briefs.

CAST · DEMO READ
Cast for 25–44 men; test 55–64 men
M 25–34 2.46 · M 18–24 2.65 · F 65+ 1.18

Men are ~62% of spend and the efficiency core is male 18–44. 55–64 men still return 2.31 — legacy-traveler casting works. Don't over-rotate creative toward 45+ women (1.78 and falling).

MOMENTS · CAP AT 25%
Build the three July windows — then stop
no client calendar · windows are suggested

WANDRD has no July calendar today, so these windows are our proposal — confirm offers before briefing. Whatever changes, hold the cap: moment creative ≤25% so August doesn't start from zero.

Methodology & Sources

How this model gets built.

The volume floor is a set recommendation; the % splits come from 13 months of ad-level performance, the Motion taxonomy, and a proposed July calendar. Refreshed weekly; targets reset the first Monday of each month.

July inputs
Forecast ad demand (floor)~100 ads
Recent run-rate (active ads/mo, 90d avg)~236
Moments / Evergreen25% / 75%
Image / Video48% / 52%
June actual Meta spend~$46,400
May actual Meta spend~$106,500
Blended ROAS (90d in-platform)2.29
Blended ROAS (13-mo)3.05
July revenue / MER goalTBD — from MLTO plan
Sources & basis
Supermetrics · 13-mo ad-level1,757 rows · spend/ROAS basis
Motion · glossary taxonomypersonas · formats · themes
Motion · age × gender (90d)casting read
Motion · creative insightsPENDING — workspace sync
Persona share basisad-name taxonomy × spend/ROAS
July calendar / momentsSUGGESTED — no client calendar
Voice of customernot yet mined — next build
CadenceWeekly · Mondays

The one thing to remember

These are proportions, not quotas. 100 is the floor and the account already runs well past it — so whatever the shop ships, hold the mix: the persona %, the awareness split, and the format targets. Two gaps to close to make this exact: confirm the real July offer windows, and let Motion finish syncing the workspace for the tagged-insight view. Bring new signal to the Monday sync and we'll re-pace.

WANDRD · CREATIVE DEMAND MODEL · JULY 2026